Tuesday, June 12, 2012

DTTWSB NBA Playoff Update & Finals Prediction

Hello folks! As some of you may have known, I've been extremely busy and away from my computer for some time now. That hasn't stopped me from watching the NBA playoffs though. The conference finals were great and now I'm expecting an even better NBA Finals. My original conference finals picks were:

Eastern Conference

2. Miami Heat vs. 4. Boston Celtics: Heat in 6

Western Conference

1. San Antonio Spurs vs. 2. Oklahoma City Thunder: Spurs in 7

Obviously I was wrong in the Western Conference. The Thunder played great and made excellent adjustments to turn the series in their favor. They're now up against the Miami Heat who are coming off their 2nd straight Eastern Conference championship. LeBron James is playing at a high level (he was at this time last year though) and has been carrying his squad. The match up between James and Kevin Durant is what everyone will be watching. No one in the league has been playing better than those two since the playoffs started. The Heat were my preseason pick to win it all but a lot has changed since December. OKC is playing great defense and is showing not only are they talented, but they're tough as nails. Nobody on their team is scared of the big stage which will ultimately propel them to the championship. I just don't see how a team as tough as them with homecourt advantage can lose with the title on the line. With that said, here is my official prediction:

2. Oklahoma City Thunder vs. 2. Miami Heat: Thunder in 7

Enjoy the series folks!

Saturday, May 12, 2012

DTTWSB NBA Conference Semifinal Predictions

After what seemed like a boring 1st round of the playoffs, things have finally started to heat up. We currently have two Game 7s that have to be decided, but the Down To The Wire Sports Blog doesn't have time to wait because the conference semifinals start tonight! Injuries dominated the headlines when the playoffs started. There's no doubt they've impacted the outcome of some of the games. Since two of the Western Conference series have yet to be decided, I'll be making double the predictions on that side just to cover my basis. You all know who I feel is going to win though. Let's stop wasting time and get to the picks.

Eastern Conference

4. Boston Celtics vs. 8. Philadelphia 76ers: Celtics in 5

The best way to sum up this series is that the Celtics expected to be here, while the 76ers are happy to be here. There's no way Philly thought they could beat the Bulls until Derrick Rose tore his ACL at the end of Game 1. Boston is quietly playing some good basketball, especially point guard Rajon Rondo. He's the offensive catalyst for this team. I just can't see how the Sixers can make this a series. I see the Celtics winning the first two and then splitting on the road to blow Philadelphia out at home in Game 5.

2. Miami Heat vs. 3. Indiana Pacers: Heat in 4

Everyone knew we would see this series once the playoffs started, but we also thought we'd be seeing a better 76ers team. They aren't very good in my estimation. If Dwight Howard was able to play in the previous series I believe the Magic would have beat the Pacers. I do actually think the games in this series will be close, but the Heat will close them out in 4 games. The combination of James, Wade and Bosh is just too much for Indiana. I don't think they're ready for that kind of intensity.


Western Conference

1. San Antonio Spurs vs. 4. Memphis Grizzlies: Spurs in 6

Oh baby, this would be an excellent series in my opinion. Last year the Grizzlies shocked the Spurs in the 1st round and beat them in 6 games. With a healthy Manu Ginobili, I think the Spurs can flip the script and beat the Grizz in 6. San Antonio is not the sexy pick, but they've been playing the best basketball in the entire league if you ask me. They're efficient offensively and buy into defending the ball as a team. With Tony Parker playing lights out basketball, this team is going to be a tough exit if you ask me.

or

1. San Antonio Spurs vs. 5. Los Angeles Clippers: Spurs in 5

This series would bring up the age old discussion of style versus substance. The "Lob City" Clippers play with a lot of energy, but they don't defend the ball that well. San Antonio is probably one of the most boring teams to watch in the league, but for basketball junkies, it's poetry in motion. I believe Chris Paul will be able to pull out one game for the Clippers but that's about it. The Spurs are just too much for this young roster. A lot of the times in the playoffs, teams with experience are able to take out teams who are young.

2. Oklahoma City Thunder vs. 3. Los Angeles Lakers: Thunder in 6

If you're looking for stars, look no further than this series. It has all the stars you want to see plus more. Along with last series, this would be a coming of age type series for the OKC Thunder. They're still getting playoff wins underneath their belt, and none would be bigger than beating the Kobe Bryant-led Los Angeles Lakers. In my opinion, LA simply doesn't match up with OKC, especially in the back court. The Thunder play hard every night and would be able to steal at least one game at the Staples Center while protecting homecourt.

or

2. Oklahoma City Thunder vs. 6. Denver Nuggets: Thunder in 4

To be honest, I don't want to see this series. It would be a complete blowout if these two teams were to face. Denver plays hard, but they don't have nearly the same amount of weapons as OKC. The Thunder would out class them from the start if you ask me. For that reason, I do not wish to further analyze this series.

Friday, April 27, 2012

DTTWSB NBA 1st Round Predictions

It is time! The NBA playoffs are back! This year we have even more interesting match ups in the 1st round. I cannot wait for Saturday to get going with these games. Last year I did alright with my predictions, but there were a few surprises here and there. I've done a little more research this year and should be able to make better selections. Let me stop wasting time, here are my picks for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs.

Eastern Conference

1. Chicago Bulls vs. 8. Philadelphia 76ers: Bulls in 5

This will be a defensive series. Both teams are built on playing hard and having strong benches. Unfortunately for the Sixers, they have to play the Bulls. Derrick Rose is rested and has recovered from his back injury. It will be tough for Philly to handle him. I see the Bulls dropping one game on the road, but definitely holding serve at home and finishing this series early.

2. Miami Heat vs. 7. New York Knicks: Heat in 6

Hands down this is the best series of the 1st round. There is star power all over the court. Also, we finally get to see LeBron vs. Melo in a playoff series. Anytime you get big-time players matched up against each other in a series it should make for an intense battle. Ultimately I like the Heat to win this series, but not without being tested by those pesky Knickerbockers.

3. Indiana Pacers vs. 6. Orlando Magic: Pacers in 5

In my opinion this series has lost its luster since Dwight Howard will not play. I don't see how the Magic can win now. It's going to take a masterful job from head coach Stan Van Gundy. I don't see that happening because he's pretty much a dead man walking. The Pacers play hard and are a cohesive unit so I think they'll be able to move on with ease.

4. Boston Celtics vs. 5. Atlanta Hawks: Celtics in 5

This is a tricky series to gauge. The Celtics are the higher seed but the Hawks have the home court advantage. With that said, I believe the Celtics steal at least one of the first two games in Atlanta. Boston is playing their best basketball at the right time. Every year we say they're done, but I think these Celtics have one last run left in them.


Western Conference

1. San Antonio Spurs vs. 8. Utah Jazz: Spurs in 5

Welcome to Boringville, USA. This series has no spice to it. I probably won't watch any of the games to be honest. I hope the Spurs are able to advance as soon as possible so they can just get on to the next round. Sorry Utah, it's been a good run but your season is coming to an end.

2. Oklahoma City Thunder vs. 7. Dallas Mavericks: Thunder in 6

In a rematch of last year's WCF, the Thunder will take on the Mavericks. This time OKC has the home court advantage. Right now the Thunder have hit the wall it seems like. They aren't playing their best basketball right now which they cannot afford to do if they want to beat the Mavs. I think this will be a good series, but because Dallas lost some of their toughness from last year the Thunder will come out on top.

3. Los Angeles Lakers vs. 6. Denver Nuggets: Lakers in 5

The Lakers seem to be coming together as a team at the right time. If that's the case, the Nuggets are in trouble here. You bet Kobe wants to make one last run at a 6th championship and tie Michael Jordan. No team in the playoffs has two big men who can score and defend like the Lakers do. It's a huge advantage. Look for them to play lock down defense throughout this series and advance with ease.

4. Memphis Grizzlies vs. 5. Los Angeles Clippers: Clippers in 7

For the second year in a row, the 4-5 series is the most intriguing in the West. These are two teams that are potential dark horses to represent the conference in the NBA Finals. I expect this series to go the distance. Memphis has the home court, but I can see either team winning at each other's venue. The difference maker in this series will be Mr. CP3. His experience and leadership will propel Lob City to the next round.

DTTWSB 2011-12 Regular Season NBA Awards

Last night the lockout-shortened NBA season came to an end. It was a rapid season with teams having to play an enormous amount of games in a short period of time. It's been a strong comeback for the NBA after the nasty labor negotiations last fall. There have been some great individual performances this year and here is where we'll reward them. With all that said, here are my individual awards for the NBA regular season.

Most Valuable Player: LeBron James

Is this really even a question? If it weren't for his arrogant personality and poor showing in the NBA Finals last season, he would be the unanimous decision for the MVP award. Through the first half of the season he was playing as efficient as any player in NBA history. In my opinion he's the most complete player in basketball and the best basketball player in the world. Now if we could just get him to step up in the NBA Finals...

Defensive Player of the Year: Tyson Chandler

Chandler was a key defensive piece for the Knicks all season. One they signed him in the off season I thought it was a great pick up because they needed a defensive presence. Luckily he was my preseason DPOY. As a shot blocker and rebounder he makes things difficult for post players and guards as well. I think he's a slam dunk pick here.

Rookie of the Year: Kyrie Irving

The first pick in the draft more than lived up to the billing. He was the catalyst for the Cavaliers all season long. As a team they didn't have great success, but having a guy like Irving is definitely a step in the right direction. I'm looking forward to seeing how good he can become.

Most Improved Player: Andrew Bynum

Even with all the headaches he gave Mike Brown and the Lakers, he's been their second best player all season long. He's always had the ability, but for some reason he couldn't stay healthy. Now that he was able to stay healthy he played the entire season and made the Western Conference All-Star team as a starter. He's now the building piece for the Lakers for years to come.

Sixth Man of the Year: James Harden

Like the MVP award, this should be another unanimous selection. James Harden can flat out ball. Last postseason he became one of my favorite players in the league because of his game. He can score, but I love the fact that he facilitates as well. True point guard for the Thunder. He creates shots for others around him and is a critical piece for the Thunder going forward.

Coach of the Year: Tom Thibodeau

Yes, Thibodeau won this award last year, but I actually think he deserves it more this season. To not have last years MVP Derrick Rose for the majority of the season and to still earn the number 1 seed in the Eastern Conference is very impressive. The coaching job he's done with the bench has been phenomenal. Will he win it? I'm not sure. All I know is that he deserves it.

All-NBA 1st Team

PG: Tony Parker
SG: Kobe Bryant
SF: LeBron James
PF: Kevin Love
C: Dwight Howard

All-NBA 2nd Team

PG: Chris Paul
SG: Monta Ellis
SF: Kevin Durant
PF: Dirk Nowitzki
C: Andrew Bynum

Tuesday, April 24, 2012

DTTWSB 2012 Top 10 NFL Mock Draft

Oh baby, the NFL Draft is less than 48 hours away! I cannot even express how pumped I am for it to start. After months of breaking down tape, watching the combine and paying attention to the pro days, the draft is now here. We're going to get to see where the stars of tomorrow will be playing their football careers. I've never published a mock draft before so I thought I'd just do a mock for the first 10 picks of the draft. There are a lot of talented prospects this season; some who can make impact immediately while others who have the potential to be superstars. My only disclaimer is that I can't predict trades so this mock draft has in mind that nobody trades into the top 10 which is unlikely in my opinion. So without further ado, here is my first ever mock draft.

1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck

We've knew Luck was going to the Colts ever since they clinched the top spot all the way back in late December. Now that Peyton Manning has moved on, the Colts seem to have found their heir apparent to the throne. The Stanford quarterback is an excellent choice and is the best quarterback prospect since Peyton Manning, if not John Elway in 1983. They'll be using their time to think about what they want to do in the 2nd round.

2. Washington Redskins: Robert Griffin III

They showed their hand here once they gave up a king's ransom to move up to the 2nd overall pick. I don't think the Redskins have had a franchise-caliber quarterback since Joe Theisman! This makes way too much sense here. RG3 will do wonders in Mike Shanahan's bootleg-heavy offense where he'll be able to show off his mobility. Don't get it twisted though, he's a pocket passer at heart and probably has the most potential of any player in the draft.

3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil

The past couple weeks we've started to hear that the Vikings have fallen in love with LSU corner back Morris Claiborne. In my opinion it's all smoke screen. If you're the Vikings and you believe Christian Ponder is your franchise quarterback then you have to be able to protect him. Kalil makes too much sense here. He's got all the tools to be a perennial Pro Bowler and will be a top notch left tackle for the next 10-12 years.

4. Cleveland Browns: Trent Richardson

If you look at the tape, you'll probably come away thinking that Richardson is the best overall player in the draft. There's nothing this guy can't do on the football field. It doesn't sound like Cleveland is giving up on Colt McCoy so they need to get him a running game. Especially after losing Peyton Hillis. Richardson is as good a running back that has come out since Adrian Peterson in 2007. This is a no brainer.

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Morris Claiborne

The first corner back to go off the board will be Claiborne. When you look at the tape you can see a clean prospect who will translate to the next level. Tampa Bay has a pressing need at the position because Ronde Barber is on his way out the door and you never know what to expect from Aquib Talib. Even though he scored a 4 on his Wonderlic test, I believe he'll fit in nicely with this young team.

6. St. Lous Rams: Fletcher Cox

Throughout the entire draft process people have said it's almost a certainty that the Rams select a wide receiver with their first pick. Knowing the type of coach Jeff Fisher is, I can't see him passing up on fixing the trenches. Especially if Fletcher Cox is still on the board. Cox is one of my favorite prospects in the draft. He's young, athletic and has a motor like no other. He's going to be a disruptive force in this league for years to come.

7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Stephon Gilmore

For the first reach of the draft, I have the Jaguars taking Stephon Gilmore. Ideally Jacksonville would like to trade down from this spot, but if they can't find a partner they'll go ahead and take the best player available on their draft board which is Gilmore. I think Gilmore will be a good corner back in this league, but not one who merits being taken in the top 10. He has iffy ball skills and is a little tight in the hips.

8. Miami Dolphins: Ryan Tannehill

Miami has not had a franchise quarterback since Dan Marino retired. I believe they find their guy at pick 8 when they select Tannehill. Many draft experts believe he's a guy who doesn't deserve to be picked in the top 10, but in my opinion if you believe a guy is a franchise quarterback then there's no such thing as reaching for him. Tannehill is still raw so he'll need to sit behind a veteran for the next couple of years.

9. Carolina Panthers: Michael Floyd

A lot of people have the Panthers taking a defensive tackle, which is a huge need for them, but I think they get enamored with the big play ability of Michael Floyd make him the first wide receiver off the board. Floyd is a little bit of a knucklehead, but you can't deny his talent. In my opinion he's the best receiver in the draft because of what he's able to do down the field. He'll make the Panthers offense that much more explosive.

10. Buffalo Bills: Riley Reiff

At the 10 spot I have the Bills coming away with a good left tackle. On tape Reiff doesn't look like an elit prospect, but he does show signs of a guy who has the ability to protect the passer and run block as well. Buffalo needs to sure up their offensive line and protect Ryan Fitzpatrick; I believe they take a step in the right direction by taking the left tackle from Iowa.

Friday, February 3, 2012

DTTWSB Super Bowl XLVI Pick

The wait is finally over! After two weeks of hype, analysis and trash talk the game is now upon us. Both the Giants and Patriots have been in Indianapolis for the past week doing all the events like Media Day and breakfast with the press. I can't stand the fact that the NFL makes us wait two weeks before the game, but it does add to the anticipation. I'm hoping we get a good game because we deserve one with how long we've had to wait. The past few Super Bowls have been pretty entertaining so let's hope that trend continues. Regardless what happens on Sunday legacies will be cemented or tarnished as one team will stand in triumph while the other will fall in defeat. During the playoffs this year I had a decent picking record. Going into Championship Sunday I was 7-1, but a couple of special teams goats made sure I ended the weekend at 7-3. I haven't picked the Super Bowl right in the past five years so I'm going to make sure that ends. With all that said, here is my pick for Super Bowl XLVI.

Giants at Patriots: Giants
Super Bowl MVP: Giants quarterback Eli Manning

After all the smoke has cleared I believe it's going to be the Giants who are victorious at the end of the game. Many people are expecting this to be another classic Super Bowl, but I think the Giants will win this one convincingly. This is just a match up where one teams is just better than the other. I like the Giants offense and defense better than the Patriots offense and defense. All the match ups in this game favor the Giants. It's going to be tough to stop Tom Brady and that passing attack, but I believe the Giants NASCAR defensive line can do a good job at neutralizing it. When these teams faced each other in Week 9 you could tell that Brady was feeling the pass rush, even when it wasn't there. That's exactly what happened in Super Bowl XLII four years ago as well. New England's inability to consitently run the ball effectively will force them into obvious passing situations, advantage G-men.

On the other side of the ball, it's hard to not see Eli and his corp of receivers moving the ball up and down the field on the Patriots defense. New England has a tough time getting consistent pressure on quarterbacks, and whenever Eli has time to throw he makes big plays in the passing game. The scary thing for New England is that the Giants number one receiver Hakeem Nicks didn't even play during the Week 9 match up in Foxboro and New York still won. Now that Nicks is looking like a top flight receiver in the league it just creates even more match up problems for the Pats secondary. New York's balance on offense is what makes them scary. You better believe that Jacobs and Bradshaw will have success in the running game to ice the game off.

To be honest, the only way I see the Patriots winning this game is if they win the turnover battle by three. If not, it's just too much to ask of Tom Brady and Coach Belichick to pull this one out. All the Giants need to do is play their game and execute on a high level and they'll have New England frustrated all game. Ultimately this game will put Eli Manning and Coach Coughlin in the Hall of Fame. After Sunday they will have beaten the Patriots twice in the Super Bowl. That's a huge accomplisment. So on Super Sunday I'm going with Giants to reign supreme.

Saturday, January 21, 2012

DTTWSB NFL Conference Championship Picks

We have now reached the best Sunday of the year, Championship Sunday! As a football fan you can't help but park yourself on the couch and watch the games for seven hours straight. By Sunday night we'll now who will be playing in Super Bowl XLVI in Indianapolis on February 5th. I actually enjoy the conference championship games more than the Super Bowl because the teams have more of a familiarity so it makes for a better game. We have two incredible match ups this Sunday. It's going to be strength versus strength. For the x's and o's football junkie this is heaven. Last week I went a perfect 4-0 which brought my playoff picks record to 7-1 (damn you Tim Tebow). I'm outclassing the ESPN experts right now, but I need another perfect weekend to really separate from the pack. With all that said, here are my picks for the AFC/NFC Championship games.

Ravens at Patriots: Ravens

In the first game of the day we're going to have a fantastic match up. Keep your eyes glued to the tele when the Patriots have the ball cause you're going to see multiple future Hall of Famers on the field. The chess match between Tom Brady and Ray Lewis is going to be great to watch. Even with the struggles of Joe Flacco and the Ravens offense, the weakest unit on the field is the Patriots defense. If Flacco can consistently convert on 3rd down and move the chains the Ravens will win this game. I actually believe he will do so. The Patriots defense doesn't get enough pressure on the quarterback to rattle Flacco like the Texans did. The biggest weapon for the Ravens is Ray Rice. I think he's the key to Baltimore's offensive success. On the other side of things I just can't see the Patriots being able to contain Haloti Ngata. He has the ability to push the pocket and frustrate even the best quarterbacks in the game. Hernandez and Gronkowski do worry me, but one of them will be forced to stay in and block because of the dynamic pass rushers the Ravens have. I'm taking the Ravens to finally get back to the Super Bowl.

Giants at 49ers: 49ers

Woah nelly! I cannot wait for this game to start. This is going to be a good ole fashioned slobber knocker. These are two of the most physical teams in the NFL today. I love the fact that both of these teams get after the quarterback and run the football well. This game is a virtual coin flip, but I have to go with the home team to pull it out. I cannot stress enough how electric the atmosphere will be once kickoff time arrives. Which ever team is able to control the tempo of the game will come away with the victory. I believe that will be the 49ers because they can stop anyones rushing attack and mother nature will be on their side. The forecast is calling for rain during the game so that will slow down the passing game, advantage San Francisco. The Giants have been on a great run and are playing some damn good football, I just think they're running into the wrong team at the wrong time. The last time these two teams faced each other Frank Gore barely played due to injury and the 49ers still won. San Francisco's ability to stop the run and pressure the quarterback are the biggest reasons they're going to win the game. This looks like an upset, but I think the 49ers have save their best performance for now. I'll take the Niners.

Saturday, January 14, 2012

DTTWSB NFL Divisional Round Playoff Picks

What a week of games we had last week. I truly believe that there's nothing better than NFL football in January. This weekend particular is one of my favorites of the year. Now we have the top eight teams left to duke it out to see who advances to Championship Sunday. All four games this weekend can go either way if you ask me. I cannot wait for kickoff later today. Now it's time to stop all the talking and let the play on the field settle it. So far this postseason, I've started out to a great record. I went 3-1 with my wildcard picks which would have been 4-0 if I didn't get Tebowed. This week I believe I'll go 4-0 because I'm feeling pretty strong about my picks. Forget all the talking, it's time for the games! Here are my picks for the divisional round in the playoffs.

Saints at 49ers: 49ers

This is a classic match up of a great offense against a great defense. Contrary to popular belief, I think this game will be decided in the trenches. Will the Saints offensive line be able to contain the 49ers pass rush? Also, will the Saints be able to get enough pressure on Alex Smith to force him into some mistakes. Ultimately, I believe the 49ers will win this game because they're a better football team than the Saints. Candlestick Park hasn't seen a home playoff game since 2002, to say the crowd will be in a frenzy is an understatement. The home team is going to feed off that crowd energy and give the fans something to cheer about. This game is going to come down to who is able to have a balanced attack on offense and I believe that will be San Francisco. Frank Gore will be able to run all over the Saints defense. The 49ers ability to stop the run and get to the quarterback will lead them to victory.

Broncos at Patriots: Patriots

Now for the game that will get the highest television ratings of the weekend. This has to be one of the most intriguing playoff match ups I've seen in awhile. America's favorite athlete Tim Tebow heads to Foxboro to take on the Patriots and Tom Brady. With all that said, I believe the Patriots will be to pull out a very close victory. My biggest fear with this pick is that the Patriots defense is terrible. Denver has the ability to run all over the Pats defense and keep Brady on the sidelines. Even though the New England defense is awful, I believe they'll be able to outscore the Broncos. Last time these two teams played, those two tight ends presented a ton of problems for the Broncos and I believe that will happen once again. As much as I'd like to see Tebow continue on because it's a great story, the train makes its last stop in New England on Saturday night.

Texans at Ravens: Ravens

In what has turned into the forgotten game of the week, I believe this has the potential to be an intriguing match up. This is the Texans chance to show that they're ready to play with the big dogs of the AFC for years to come. These teams are more similar than what might meet the eye. Both of them play great defense and are phenomenal at running the football and chewing clock. I would not be shocked if this game turned into a field goal fest. At the end of the day, I trust the Ravens defense to make one more play than the Texans defense. This is all apart of the learning curve for a young Texans team that is being led by third-string quarterback TJ Yates. If Joe Flacco can put up 20 points, which I think he will, they'll be able to beat the Houston Texans.

Giants at Packers: Giants

The last game of the divisional weekend I believe is the best game of the week. I cannot wait to see the chess match between the Packers offense and the Giants defense. Green Bay is well-rested and hasn't played a meaningful game since Christmas night, while the Giants have been in playoff-mode for the past three weeks. The weapons that the Packers have are incredible, but with that said I believe the New York Football Giants will walk into Lambeau Field and upset the 15-1 Green Bay Packers. I absolutely love the match up for the Giants this Sunday. The Packers defense has been suspect all season and now they're playing a red hot Eli Manning who has plenty of weapons to work with and a resurgent running game. Ultimately the reason why I believe the Giants will win this game is because of their defensive front four. They will get to Aaron Rodgers consistently and make him look very average. I just believe the Giants are peaking at the right time and will continue to play their best ball of the season and beat the Packers.

Saturday, January 7, 2012

DTTWSB NFL Wildcard Playoff Picks

The time is now! NFL playoffs have arrived for everyone to enjoy for the next month. This is when the intensity goes to an entirely different level. The players, coaches and even fans know what's at stake. In the past several years, the we've seen some teams from the wildcard round make a run at the Super Bowl. The Green Bay Packers did it last season. I'm not sure if we'll see it again, but I know these teams won't go quietly. In the final week of the regular season, I went 9-7 with my picks. That brought my 2011 regular season total to a disappointing 155-101. I know for sure last season my record was a lot better. The season is the season though. My goal for the post season is to go undefeated with my picks. I think I can do it starting with my wildcard picks. Here's who I have advancing to the divisional round next weekend. Enjoy the games folks!

Bengals at Texans: Texans

This is the first game of the playoffs and probably the most evenly matched one this weekend. These two teams played a great game about a month ago which saw the Texans win on a TJ Yates touchdown pass with two seconds to go in Cincinnati. A lot of people are overlooking this game but I think it may end up being a classic. Both teams have close to no playoff experience at all. We may see some sloppy play early on because of jitters, but I think the second half will be a great football game. With all that said, I have to go with the home team in this one. Even though Yates is battling a shoulder injury, I think the Texans ability to run the football with Arian Foster will keep their offense on track. They also get star wide receiver Andre Johnson back as well. The biggest reason Houston will win is because of their second-ranked defense. With the home crowd behind them, they're going to tee-off on rookie quarterback Andy Dalton. I like Dalton a lot, but I don't think the pieces around him are ready for a playoff atmosphere. I like the Texans to advance.

Lions at Saints: Saints

Woah nelly! We may have a shootout on our hands in this Saturday Night Special. Both of these teams have quarterbacks who threw for more than 5,000 yards in the regular season. That's unheard of in this league. The crowd is going to be in a frenzy tonight to support their hometown team. With all the potential offensive fireworks that may go one, I like the Saints to pull away late and advance to the next round to take on the 49ers. The Detroit defense is predicated on only rushing the passer, and that's something easier said than done against the Saints offensive line. I believe Brees will have his way with the inconsistent Lions secondary. New Orleans also can run the ball down your throat, something the Lions aren't good at stopping. This game will not be a blowout by any means because the LIons can put up points as well, but Detroit is too one dimensional on offense to continually score against a Gregg Williams defense. In what should be a high-scoring affair, I like the boys from the Bayou to flew their muscles late and pull out a convincing victory.

Falcons at Giants: Giants

In my opinion, this is the game of the week. These are two fairly evenly matched teams that bring great quarterback play to the game. Eli Manning and Matt Ryan have some serious weapons to work with on the outside. I think those weapons are some of the best in the league, which is why this game will be decided in the trenches, the old fashioned way. I give the New York Football Giants the advantage in the trenches, especially playing at home. The Giants are coming off two big wins against their rivals so they're feeling real confident right now. Atlanta is also feeling confident, but hasn't beaten the good teams in this league. I truly think the Giants have found their elite pass rush once again and a steady running game on the offensive side of the ball. Matt Ryan will be under immense pressure on obvious passing situations because his offensive line is average at best at protecting the passer. If the Falcons want to win they'll have to run the ball, something they won't be able to do if they get down early. I think Eli will have his way early with the Falcons secondary and use his running game late to ice the game for the Gmen.

Steelers at Broncos: Steelers

The unthinkable has happened. Second year quarterback Tim Tebow has led the Broncos to the playoffs after they started the season 1-4 under Kyle Orton. Even though the Broncos are out matched in this game, that Denver crowd will be going crazy to start the game. Tebow Time has instilled belief among Bronco fans that hasn't been there since John Elway was the quarterback. Unfortunately for them, the clock will strike midnight when the Steelers come to town. I'm not saying this game will be a blowout because both teams have great defenses, but I do think the Steelers will control the game and play and force the Broncos to play at their pace. Tebow will be facing his worst nightmare this week, Ben Roethlisberger is another quarterback who has ice water in his veins. We've seen it time and time again from Big Ben. Even though he's hobbled by his ankle injury, I believe he'll gut out an ugly victory for the Steelers. The biggest reason Pittsburgh will advance to the next round is because their defense will shut down the Broncos running game. Once you do that, you shut down their entire offense because there are zero weapons outside to threaten a defense. The story has been nice all year, but it comes to an end Sunday evening. Give me Pittsbugh in this one.

Friday, January 6, 2012

DTTWSB 2011 NFL Regular Season Team/Player Awards

At the end of the season, all the experts come out with their regular season awards. The DTTWSB isn't any different. Throughout the season, some players and teams have stood out to me. For those of you that have been following my blog since last year, you're used to my awards. There are some conventional ones that the associated press comes out with, and then there are some that I created. Can I get a drum roll please...here are my awards.

Most Valuable Player: Aaron Rodgers
Without a doubt, Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is my MVP of the season. Not only were his numbers off the charts, he was 14-1 as a starter this season. He's led the Packers to the number one seed in the NFC and has made it look easy the whole time. I haven't seen a quarterback play this well with such a poor offensive line in my life. What he's doing is extraordinary which is why he's my MVP.

Offensive Player of the Year: Drew Brees
In terms of numbers alone, Drew Brees had one of the best seasons for a quarterback. He broke Dan Marino's passing yards record with a game to spare. In the Superdome he's an artist with the football in his hands which propelled him to record-breaking numbers. By putting the offense and the team on his back, Brees earned the offensive player of the year award.

Defensive Players of the Year: Terrell Suggs
On the defensive side of the ball, there hasn't been a better player this season than Terrell Suggs. He brings his best games against the best competition. T-Sizzle represents "ball-so-hard university" very well and has the Ravens defensive front getting after the quarterback. The Ravens had one of the best defenses all season and Sizzle was the leader. He deserves this award.

Offensive Rookie of the Year: Cam Newton
Woah Cam! I don't think I've ever seen a rookie quarterback dominate the NFL the way Cam Newton did. From Week 1 he's been lighting up defenses week in and week out. He's an absolute match up nightmare for any defense. The guy can throw from the pocket and use his legs to extend the play. Newton is a future star and at one point in his career I think we'll be able to say he's the best player in football.

Defensive Rookie of the Year: Von Miller
Before Von Miller got injured, he was playing some outstanding football. The way he gets to the passer is flat out phenomenal. I haven't seen a first step this good since Dwight Freeney was in his prime. Miller has excelled in John Fox's defensive scheme. In a passing league, he's the kind of playmaker that can turn any defense from average to elite.

Comeback Player of the Year: Alex Smith
Oh boy, never in my dreams would I have thought that Alex Smith would be a division-winning quarterback after the year he turned in last season. Coach Harbaugh resurected Smith's career and has him playing with confidence he's never had before. Smith didn't turn the ball over this season which is why his team is in a good position to get to the Super Bowl.

Breakout Player of the Year: Victor Cruz
The salsa dancing machine is my pick for breakout player of the year. Giants wide receiver Victor Cruz flat out balled this season. He's one of the best route runners in the league. What get's lost in the shuffle of Eli Manning's great season is the season Cruz had. He was third in the league in receiving yards and should have made the Pro Bowl. Cruz has become Manning's favorite target and is now one of the better receivers in the league.

Coach of the Year: Jim Harbaugh
Hands down my coach of the year is Jim Harbaugh. The work he did with virtually no offseason is flat out incredible. He didn't even know the names of his players until late July. Using his psycho-analytical motivation, he reminds me of the work Jimmy Johnson did with the 90s Cowboys. This guy has restored prominence back to the Bay Area.

Biggest Surprise of the Year: San Francisco 49ers
I expected absolutely nothing from the 49ers this season. I actually predicted the Rams to win the division back in August. Flash forward five months later and now the 49ers are the number two seed in the NFC playoffs. All the talent they've acquired over the years has now paid off. This team is not a flash in a pan, they're here to stay for the next decade.

Biggest Disappointment of the Year: Chris Johnson
My goodness, after the big holdout CJ2K had I thought he'd come into camp hungry and ready to prove he was worth his huge contract. This guy didn't show up until about Week 11 this season. Maybe he'll come to play next season, but this season he played like a dud.

Overachievers of the Year: Denver Broncos
The overachievers award goes to the Denver Broncos. This team doesn't have much talent, but they made the playoffs. Is this a playoff team next year? Probably not, but with Tebow continuing to progress the future is bright for them. For this season though, they defintiely overachieved.

Thursday, January 5, 2012

DTTWSB NFL Playoff Power Rankings

The 2011 NFL regular season is officially over. It's time for the pretenders to take a step back and watch the contenders battle it out for the next month to see who will be Super Bowl champion. The NFL playoffs is the best time of the year in my opinion. The do-or-die feeling each game has is spectacular. I think we're in for some really good games this post season. My playoff power rankings is a list of the teams that I feel are playing their best as of right now. Just because I have a team ranked low doesn't mean I don't think they have a shot and vice versa. This is strictly based on what I saw all season long, and how I think they'll translate to postseason play. With all that said, here are my 2011 NFL playoff power rankings.

1. Green Bay Packers (15-1): I've had the Pack rated number one all season long and I predicted them to get back to the Super Bowl so why change now? I'm very scared about their defense though; that might be the reason they're watching the Super Bowl instead of playing in it.

2. San Francisco 49ers (13-3): Coach Jim Harbaugh has done a hell of a job with the 49ers this year. This is probably the most complete team in the NFL. The only question about the Niners is quarterback Alex Smith. If he's able to move the chains and convert in the red zone they'll be playing in February.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4): The only thing that can hold the Steelers back this postseason are injuries. Unfortunately they lost Rashard Mendenhall to an ACL tear in the final game of the season. If they can minimize that loss they'll definitely make some noise.

4. Baltimore Ravens (12-4): I would have the Ravens ahead of the Steelers if it weren't for my lack of trust in Joe Flacco. Even with the homefield advantage something is telling me he may play poor at home. If they want to win they must get Ray Rice the ball.

5. New Orleans Saints (13-3): New Orleans will have "dome-field" advantage in the wildcard round which should propel them to the divisional round. Their defense will most likely get exposed for being a fraud once they have to travel to the Bay Area. Brees is going to have to put the team on his back; this time it may be too much.

6. New York Giants (9-7): There probably isn't a scarier team in the NFC playoffs than the Giants. This team is peaking at the right time. Eli Manning is red hot and so is their pass rush. It's going to cause problems for teams this January starting with the Falcons.

7. New England Patriots (13-3): It's rare that a number one seed could be the seventh ranked team in the playoffs. I had to do it because their defense is atrocious. It's going to be Brady or bust for them in the playoffs. I don't believe that's going to work with the quality of teams they'll be facing.

8. Atlanta Falcons (10-6): Can the Falcons finally get over the hump and win a big postseason game? They haven't been able to since Mike Vick was their quarterback. Even though they have a ton of weapons outwide, they have to get Michael Turner the ball to hide their inconsistent offensive line.

9. Houston Texans (10-6): For the Texans to make the playoffs with the amount of injuries they have is amazing in itself. A lot of people are writing them off for dead, but I'm not going to do that just yet. They pack a defense and running game which is crucial in the playoffs.

10. Cincinnati Bengals (9-7): Under the direction of the Red Rocket, the Bengals are relevant once again. This Saturday they're playing a very winnable game against the Texans. In the past, coach Marvin Lewis has made questionable decisions in the postseason. Let's see if he finally gets out of his own way.

11. Detroit Lions (10-6): This is the first time the Lions have been in the playoffs since 1999. We'll know real quick if the stage is too big for them. With all the blue chip pieces they have they are very one dimensional on offense. That's asking for trouble when you're the number six seed.

12. Denver Broncos (8-8): Tebow and the Broncos had a successful season in my opinion; especially after starting the season 1-4 under Kyle Orton. Unfortunately for the Mile High faithful, they have to play the vaunted Pittsburgh Steelers. We'll see if Tebow is willing to "pull the trigger" against a top-tier NFL defense.