Sunday, December 4, 2011

DTTWSB Week 13 NFL Picks

We've said it all year on this blog; when the weather gets colder, the games get more important. The playoff races this season are going to be tremendous. This is truly the most wonderful time of the year. My record last week was a strong 13-3 which brought my season record to 105-71. I haven't been that good with my picks this season, but I tend to do better in December. I'm already 1-0 this week since I tweeted that my upset picks was the Seahawks over the Eagles. I'm starting strong and I feel like I'll end strong. So without further ado, here are my picks for Week 13.

Bengals at Steelers: Steelers

This one should be a good ole' fashioned AFC North clash. The surprise Bengals have been playing pretty good football this season. Rookie quarterback Andy Dalton and rookie wide receiver AJ Green have given that offense a spark. I believe the Bengals will give the Steelers all they can handle, but ultimately I'm rolling with the Steelers. It's difficult to beat the Steelers at home, especially in December. One concern for the Steelers is the health of safety Troy Polamalu. If he can't play other guys will need to step up. It's probably going to be ugly, but I think the Steelers pull away in the fourth quarter.

Falcons at Texans: Falcons

When I looked at the schedule a month ago, I expected to see Matt Ryan and Matt Schaub. Instead we're looking Matt Ryan and TJ Yates. You're probably thinking to yourself, "who the hell is TJ Yates?" Mr. Yates is the Texans third-string quarterback. He's going to be leading the Texans for the rest of the season due to season-ending injuries to Schaub and Matt Leinart. Because of this, I expect the Falcons to win this game. Atlanta has bee hot during the past month and should be feeling confident. Houston should rally around Yates, but it won't be enough to compete with the Falcons high-powered offense. Give me Hotlanta.

Packers at Giants: Packers

Oh baby, this is definitely the game of the day. I cannot wait to see this game. There isn't a player in the league that's playing at a higher level than Aaron Rodgers right now. He's directing the traffic for that unconscious Packers offense. Since it's in the Meadowlands, this game will be very close. That crowd will try to make things difficult for the Packers. For the Giants, this is a playoff game. If they lose today, they'll fall to 6-6 and put themselves in a win-out scenario. They must try to keep pace with the Cowboys. I believe this game will be played in the high 20's scoring wise. It's too difficult to stop the Green Bay passing game. The Giants have to run the football if they want to win. I actually think Eli Manning will have a couple turnovers because the Packers secondary is a great at taking the ball away. With all that said, I'll take the Packers to improve to 12-0.

Lions at Saints: Saints

If this game was a movie it would be titled, "The Shootout in the Bayou." That's what I'm expecting to see on Sunday Night Football. Drew Brees and the Saints offense is absolutely on fire right now. This team will light you up when they play in the Superdome. Don't get me wrong, the Lions can definitely put up some points, but nobody can score like the Saints can at home. The New Orleans defense benefits from what the offense does because they're always playing with the lead. I could see the Saints scoring in the 40's while the Lions score in the high 20's. It's just going to be too difficult for the Lions to win without their best player Ndamukong Suh. I'll take the Saints to march on.

***Upset Special***
Eagles at Seahawks: Seahawks

No need for me to go in depth here. I booked this game on my twitter account a few hours before kickoff. I'll go ahead and put a check in the W column, thank you very much.

The rest of the week's picks:

Titans at Bills: Titans
Chiefs at Bears: Bears
Raiders at Dolphins: Dolphins
Broncos at Vikings: Broncos
Colts at Patriots: Patriots
Panthers at Buccaneers: Panthers
Jets at Redskins: Jets
Ravens at Browns: Ravens
Cowboys at Cardinals: Cowboys
Rams at 49ers: 49ers
Chargers at Jaguars: Chargers

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